About a quarter of these (6% of all 2020 voters) showed up two years later in 2018 to cast ballots in the highest-turnout midterm election in decades. Biden responded by attacking Trump for not having a clear health-care plan, despite promising that he would unveil it. Younger voters also made up an outsize share of these voters: Those under age 30 made up 38% of new or irregular 2020 voters, though they represented just 15% of all 2020 voters. Amid such an ideological quagmire, a reactive, confusing and often contradictory immigration agenda has emerged from this administration. Bidens policy and agenda framed the majority of coverage overall (65%), including 68% of the stories from outlets with mixed audiences and 65% of stories from outlets with left-leaning audiences. For more details, see the methodology. But, at a border that is already hyper-politicized, hyper-policed and hyper-surveilled, the last two administrations have still largely relied on the enforcement-focused infrastructures and blueprints inherited from their predecessors. While Bidens popular vote differential was an improvement over Hillary Clintons 2016 2-point advantage, it was not as resounding as congressional Democrats 9-point advantage over Republicans in votes cast in the 2018 elections for the U.S. House of Representatives. Trump handled the death of George Floyd poorly in most voters' minds Biden is the "lesser of two evils" Trump's honesty appears challenged Trump "runs his mouth" too much (but he gets the job done) Trump looked immature by refusing to wear a mask for so long Trump's cabinet appears dishonest. In 2020, 46% of Biden voters had at least a college degree; 53% did not have a degree. The economy and health care were at the top, each accounting for about 20% of total coverage. Voters approve that Trump is for strong borders, keeping illegal immigrants out Economy - "The economy has comeroaring back to life underPresident Trump. With that, I note the relevant comments from the focus groups: Trump hasnt handled the pandemic response well its time for someone new This survey was conducted March 8-14, 2021, before the fatal shooting of six Asian women and two other people in the Atlanta area on March 16 and before the trial of Derek Chauvin began on March 29. Voters think Bidens the alternative to President Trump, the lesser of two evils.. (For more details, see Methodology.). While the topic of the economy was covered more by outlets with a left-leaning audience, a large majority of Americans, regardless of their media diet, report hearing a lot about the passage of the economic stimulus bill in the news. Notably, Boomers and Silents (and the very small number of voters from the Greatest Generation) made up less than half of the electorate in 2020 (44%), compared with just over half in both 2016 and 2018. A Biden-Trump rematch risks worsening our country's already deep divisions. Even on the day that President Joe Biden delivered his most jarring warning yet that democracy is in severe danger, Donald Trump teased how he might use a new White House term to further erode . Among white women with a college degree, support for Biden was on par with support for Clinton in 2016 (59%-40% in 2020). In response to President Trump, Biden say's "these kids came with parents.. separated them at the border to make it a disincentive to come to begin . Source types: The study also measured 13 different types of sources that might be cited in a story: This measure identifies the presence of atypeof source in any given article, not the total number of individual sources. This study classified stories into one of two main frames (whichever accounted for more than 50% of the story): For example, an article or segment about health care could be framed around the legislative differences in what the administration is proposing versus members of Congress (thus coded as core ideology and policy agenda). Still, a sizable share (43%) said the November election was the first time they had cast an absentee or mail ballot. All members of the American Trends Panel who took the 2020 post-election survey whether they voted or not were asked which candidate they preferred in the race for president. This was measured separately from topic since COVID is so intertwined with many of the other topic areas and captures whether COVID-19 was a major part of the story (meaning at least half the story addressed it), a minor part of the story (addressed in less than half the story), or not a part of the story at all. Voters dont like Biden blaming Trump for the coronavirus, seeing it as playing politics falsely Overall, Biden voters were younger, more racially and ethnically diverse, and less likely to live in rural areas than Trump voters. Stories were collected from television, radio, digital and print outlets and coded by a team of nine coders trained specifically for this project. At the other end of the generational spectrum, members of the Silent and Greatest generations (born 1945 and earlier) fell from 16% of all voters in 2016 to just 8% in 2020, but their turnout rates remained among the highest of all generations. President Trump has offensive reactions to events Today's Action Market Data Stocks Quick Takes Personal Finance Your Money Newsletter . Panelists for whom a record of voting was located are considered validated voters; all others are presumed not to have voted. In 2020, 85% of voters who cast a ballot for Trump were White non-Hispanic; this compares with just 61% of Biden voters. While a traditional SWOT analysis follows the S-W-O-T pattern, I will start by building the case against him, then follow with the good news, so my analysis will actually follow a W-T-S-O pattern, which is less elegant as an acronym, but which I think presents the situation in a proper light. So is the Biden White House simply a more politically correct Trump 2.0 on immigration at the US-Mexico border? Among those who voted for Clinton and Trump in 2016, similar shares of each about nine-in-ten also turned out in 2020, and the vast majority remained loyal to the same party in the 2020 presidential contest. Although the Biden administration eventually announced it was planning to end Title 42 restrictions last year, pending litigation has kept them in place for the foreseeable future. The 2020 presidential election was historic in many ways. But a post on social media claims one difference . Trump gets credit from some voters for de-escalating tensions with Iran even as he confronts Iranian nuclear misconduct William A.. All rights reserved. Additionally, coverage of the early days of the Biden administration focused more on policy and agenda over leadership qualities than any other administration except for Bush. In March 2020, during a . None. At the same time, White voters with a college degree made up a larger share of Biden voters (34%) than Trump voters (27%). President Trump repeated his claim that Joe Biden wants to ban fracking - the controversial process of drilling below ground and using high-pressure water to force out gas. So how is it, with these comments, that Biden is leading in the polls, and Trump seems almost desperate? Biden and/or members of his administration were by far most likely to be cited, appearing in 82% of all stories studied including 70% of stories in outlets with right-leaning audiences. All others are categorized as neither positive nor negative. The surveys were supplemented with measures taken from annual recruitment and profile surveys conducted in 2018 and 2020. During his tenure, Mr. Trump has: Passed the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, which in part lowered the corporate tax rate from 35% to 21%. Trump . Among independents and those who affiliated with other parties, Biden led Trump by 52%-43%. However, just as in the coverage studied, U.S. adults in the right-only and tend-right diets are most likely to say it has been mainly negative (35% and 32%, respectively, versus 6% of the left-only group and 4% of the tend-left group). Passage of the economic stimulus bill and the distribution of the COVID-19 vaccine topped the list, with nearly eight-in-ten U.S. adults (77%) saying they had heard a lot about the stimulus package and 74% hearing a lot about vaccine distribution. Voters who were unaffiliated with any religious tradition (atheists, agnostics and those who describe themselves as nothing in particular) made up 35% of Biden voters but just 14% of Trump voters in 2020. The level of positive coverage was roughly on par with that of George W. Bush and Bill Clinton, but lower than for Barack Obama with all four higher than Trump. One noteworthy feature of the 2020 election was the wide education gap among Hispanic voters. As was the case in 2016, White voters without a four-year college degree made up a considerably larger share of GOP voters (58%) than Democratic voters (27%). Validated voters are citizens who told us in a post-election survey that they voted in the 2020 general election and have a record for voting in a commercial voter file. Among other types of sources, though, there were some shifts in the rate at which they made their way into stories. For example, just 17% of the stories in the right-leaning audience group used sources who are experts or members of issue groups, compared with 31% of stories in the mixed-audience outlets and 39% of stories in the left-leaning group. Voters believe Biden will bring respect back to the presidency and to our country. Nonvoters are citizens who were not found to have a record of voting in any of the voter files or told us they did not vote. Again, the broader topic of health care was covered slightly more by outlets with a left-leaning and a more mixed audience, the content analysis found. College graduates made up 39% of all voters in 2020 (about the same as in 2016) but only 17% of nonvoters. FILE - Former President Donald Trump announces a third run for president as he speaks at Mar-a-Lago in Palm Beach, Fla., Nov. 15, 2022. White non-evangelical Protestants voted for Trump over Biden by a 14-point margin (57%-43%), while Black Protestants were an overwhelmingly Democratic group (91% voted for Biden). By contrast, about a third of Trump voters (32%) voted by mail. A yawning age gap in voter support a pattern that emerged in the 2004 presidential election for the first time since 1972 continues to be evident, with voters under 30 favoring Joe Biden by 24 percentage points (Biden 59%, Trump 35%). One new element of this years study in Part 2of this report is a survey component that measures Americans exposure to and sense of news coverage during this early time period, how that differs by media diet, and how it compares with the analysis of media content in Part 1. The list is fairly long and growing: Voter surveys conducted for major news organizations, including the exit polls by Edison Research for the National Election Pool and AP VoteCast by NORC at the University of Chicago for the Associated Press and Fox News; the. While he still won this group by a little more than two-to one (66% to Bidens 31%), that 35 percentage point gap is notably smaller than the 50-point gap in the 2016 election, when 73% of White men without a college degree supported Trump, compared with 23% who supported Clinton. But those numbers varied widely by types of media outlets. This growth of the market can be attributed to . Overall, 65% of the stories were framed around the new presidents policy agenda and ideology, compared with 35% around character and leadership. Here are some of the other key findings from the analysis: This analysis is based on a survey of 11,818 members of Pew Research Centers American Trends Panel conducted Nov. 12-17, 2020, shortly after the general election. For this analysis, we surveyed U.S. adults online and verified their turnout in the three general elections using commercial voter files that aggregate official state turnout records. What these comments have in common, is that Trumps style and manner cause him to hurt his image. Overall, 58% of Trump voters were Protestant, compared with just 35% of Biden voters. With less than a month until Election Day, Joe Biden maintains his lead over Donald Trump in the presidential race. The most infamous through-line between Trump and Bidens approaches to people arriving at the US-Mexico border today has been both administrations controversial use of a health law to deny millions of migrants and would-be asylum seekers the opportunity to ask for protection, seemingly in violation of their rights domestically and internationally. Let's look at the overall sentiment. In 2020, Trump won 65% of White non-college voters nearly identical to his 2016 share even as Biden outperformed Clinton among this group (33% of White non-college voters backed Biden, up from the 28% of this group Clinton won in 2016). Voters broadly want a national discussion on race, but they dislike having politicians running that discussion or setting the rules for it Trumps tweets sometimes hurt his cause and image. 2. There was virtually no difference in the frequency of those mentions across outlets with left-leaning audiences (50% of stories), outlets with right-leaning audiences (47% of stories) and outlets with a mixed audience (47% of stories). The presidents management and political approach. Similarly, as Biden increased his level of support among White men in the 2020 election relative to Clintons in 2016, Trump gained among White women, which had the effect of further narrowing the gender gap among White voters. Most voters think schools should open in the fall and have face-to-face teaching The survey is weighted to be representative of the U.S. adult population by gender, race, ethnicity, partisan affiliation, education and other categories. Biden stopped applying the aggressive policy to unaccompanied kids but has continued to expel individuals and families. For our analysis of Americans views of news coverage, we group respondents by their news media diet. Zero,". In 2016, about half of Clintons voters described their communities as suburban (48%), while 32% said they were from an urban area and 19% were from a rural area. The reality is more nuanced, with a long history of bad approaches to humanitarian migration across presidents and some positive moves toward solutions from Biden, bolstered by a different rhetoric, new alternative legal pathways and attempts at more efficient processing. Biden received the support of 92% of Black voters, nearly the same as Clinton received in 2016 and Democratic candidates for the U.S. House received in 2018. For those with media diets only on the left, nearly two-thirds (64%) say the coronavirus is the most covered of the five topics. When it comes to the tone of coverage, both new administrations received more negative assessments than positive assessments of their activities. Voters ages 65 and older stand out in their voting behavior: 55% say they voted absentee or by mail in the 2020 election 13 percentage points higher than the share of adults under 65 who cast a ballot by mail. The historical comparison is conducted across a smaller universe of outlets that existed during all five study periods, representing a mix of print publications and network evening news. Markets Roundup The latest news & analysis. Finally, on the DOW Jones, Trump is at 33.85% compared to Biden at 8.78% a difference of 25.07%. As the chart show, 17.7% of tweets are positive when mentioning Biden while 13.7% when mentioning Trump and 39% negative vs 48% negative respectively.. COVID-19 focus: In this study, each story was assessed for the extent to which COVID-19 was mentioned as part of the story. Within a story, there needed to be at least twice as many positive as negative statements for a story to be considered positive and vice versa to be considered negative. See here to read more about the questions used for this reportand the reports methodology. About In addition, our polling averages do not include head-to-head polls (e.g., between Trump and DeSantis). These qualities are notably absent from Bidens arsenal. DONALD J. TRUMP JOSEPH R. BIDEN DONALD J. TRUMP JOSEPH R. BIDEN Money - His net worth is estimated to be about$4,500,000,000. From January to August 2021 Biden's approval rating averaged 10-13 points higher than President Trump's during the same time period in his presidency. Update (Oct. 8): Updated with Biden's continued refusal to clarify his stance on court packing. And among the outlets with right-leaning audiences, immigration was the most covered topic area. To be sure, Hispanic voters are not a monolith; there is substantial diversity within the Hispanic electorate. This way nearly all U.S. adults have a chance of selection. A Biden family member (not in the administration), Donald Trump, his family or former administration, A journalist (other than the reporter or anchor of the story) or news organization. On the NASDAQ, Trump is at 44.12% compared to Biden at -9.61% a difference of 53.72%. Another 42 percent of Americans disapprove of what Biden has done so far as president, including 81 percent of Republicans and 43 percent of independents. Among the 5% of Republicans who voted third-party in 2016 and voted in 2020, a majority (70%) supported Trump in 2020, but 18% backed Biden. Voters in 2020 sorted along religious lines in ways consistent with recent elections. Researchers coded stories from the 25 news outlets with content pulled from more than 45 specific programs or websites for a number of measures: Topic:News stories were first coded as being about one of 47 specific topicsor storylines (the most prominent topic within each story was coded as the storys overall topic). Now I should mention another important point about my analysis. Democrats fret about the prospects of Vice President Kamala Harris should Biden not stand, after her misfiring 2020 primary bid and her uneven performance in office over the last two years.. The 19% of 2020 voters who did not vote in 2016 or 2018 split roughly evenly between the two candidates (49% Biden vs. 47% Trump). To do this, the survey of 12,045 U.S. adults conducted March 8-14, 2021, on Pew Research Centers American Trends Panel, asked respondents to indicate whether they got political news in the past week from each of 25 national news outlets (the same outlets as in the content study see Appendix A for details). It is a subsidiary of The Pew Charitable Trusts. The survey respondents in this study are grouped according to the audience makeup of outlets they turned to for political news in the past week. Everyone who took part is a member of Pew Research Centers American Trends Panel (ATP), an online survey panel recruited through national, random sampling of telephone numbers or, since 2018, residential addresses. Some nuances emerge, though, within peoples media diets. Trumps honesty appears challenged The Left is too quick to call many people racist without valid reason Trump was eventually forced to end these hyper-visible family separations, but he continued to advance hardline practices that adversely affected children and families seeking help at the USs south-west boundary, whether stranding young kids in US Immigration and Customs Enforcement (Ice) custody or in hazardous Mexican border towns. Far more Trump voters (roughly 70% in each presidential election) did not have a four-year college degree. By contrast, Trump garnered the support of 65% of rural voters, including 71% of White rural voters; the latter represented an increase over the 62% he received among this group in 2016. By 2020, Trumps vote share rose to 64% among this group compared with 35% supporting Biden. These topics and storylines were in turn grouped into three broad topic categories, in addition to an other category: Frame:When reporting a story about a specific topic, there are various frames that journalists can use to orient the narrative. The survey panel also makes it possible to examine change in turnout and vote preference over time among many of the same individuals. While the media landscape has changed dramatically since Clintons presidential inauguration, the Center has been able to conduct a long-term comparison for each of the recent administrations across a smaller subset of outlets and variables.2. In 2020, suburban voters made up a majority of Bidens coalition (55%); 28% of his voters said they lived in urban areas and 17% were from rural areas. In 2020, Biden won college-educated Hispanic voters 69% to 30%. 3. Pew Research Center conducted this study to understand how Americans voted in 2020 and how their turnout and vote choices differed from 2016 and 2018. Although turnout was strong, stark demographic differences between voters and nonvoters similar to those seen in past U.S. elections were present in 2020, a pattern familiar to political observers. This aligns with the content analysis, which found that the economy and health care were the two leading topics for the period studied (see Chapter 1). All original content copyright 2003-2014 by Wizbang, LLC. Before I start, I will mention that Joe Biden has his own Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats. But the topics that outlets gave the most attention to differed based on the ideological makeup of their audience (see box). Voters believe Trump opposes regulations that slow down our economy But generational change in the electorate was quite apparent. NASDAQ Comparison Chart DOW JONES Comparison Chart Joe Biden defeated Donald Trump 306-232 in the Electoral College and had a 4-point margin in the popular vote. By contrast, older age groups divided fairly evenly between Biden and Trump, a result not too different from 2016. Without the religiously unaffiliated, Trump would have had a 9-point popular vote margin over Biden. An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll's quality, sample size and recency As was the case in the 2016 and 2018 elections, the Democratic voting coalition in 2020 looked quite different from the Republican coalition in several respects. Overall, urban voters continue to constitute a larger share of the Democratic coalition compared with the Republican coalition. It conducts public opinion polling, demographic research, media content analysis and other empirical social science research. Trump's indictment in Manhattan for paying hush money to a porn star yanked the spotlight off of DeSantis. Three-quarters of those who get their news only from outlets with right-leaning audiences say the subject of racial equality gets too much attention, far more than among those with a mixed-audience media diet (41%) and a left-only diet (13%). One area where there is little difference across the three media groups is whether the journalist framed the story around Bidens leadership and character or his ideology and agenda. There are four key metrics in examining the medias coverage of the early days of a new administration: the topics of those stories, the assessments of the administration, and the framing and the sources used. Nearly two-in-ten voters who cast a ballot for Biden in the 2020 election (19%) were Black, identical to the share of Clinton voters in 2016 who were Black. That gap narrowed to a 17-point margin for Trump in 2020 (57% to 40%). Cannabis Extraction Market Size 2023 Research Findings, Market Growth Factors Analysis And Forecasts-2030. Biden did considerably better among suburban voters in 2020 than Clinton did in 2016 (54% for Biden, 45% for Clinton). He also resumed programs that allow some from the Caribbean and Central America to reunite with family members in the US, and a task force is still trying to reconnect families separated by the Trump administration. Among the other most common types of sources were groups focused on policy issues (such as the ACLU and Susan B. Anthony List) and/or experts (such as academics), which were cited in 32% of stories, Democratic members of Congress (27%), Republican members (23%) and other journalists or media organizations (20%). 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